Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.414898 0.478800 0.548336 0.629496 0.721498 0.822419 0.941377
2025-09-14 0.296900 0.381680 0.483107 0.612810 0.773631 0.965801 1.212080
2025-09-21 0.229930 0.320589 0.436990 0.596174 0.806781 1.074277 1.437897
2025-09-28 0.186026 0.277680 0.402501 0.582908 0.834558 1.170300 1.648670
2025-10-05 0.162199 0.256742 0.392146 0.597232 0.896280 1.311911 1.927528
2025-10-12 0.147762 0.246368 0.393996 0.626939 0.979921 1.488071 2.266092
2025-10-19 0.132564 0.232127 0.387517 0.642232 1.042163 1.636786 2.575166
2025-10-26 0.118032 0.216563 0.376531 0.648334 1.089517 1.765462 2.862440
2025-11-02 0.104404 0.200381 0.362210 0.646746 1.123363 1.874522 3.125930
2025-11-09 0.091563 0.183637 0.344707 0.637426 1.142796 1.961055 3.358635
2025-11-16 0.080670 0.168823 0.328592 0.628277 1.160768 2.045235 3.591765
2025-11-23 0.069663 0.152177 0.307136 0.607117 1.155550 2.089737 3.761301
2025-11-30 0.066640 0.151034 0.314415 0.639302 1.247771 2.306440 4.237729
2025-12-07 0.058058 0.137345 0.296338 0.622426 1.250262 2.369382 4.456308
2025-12-14 0.050658 0.125009 0.279340 0.605554 1.250703 2.427858 4.669875
2025-12-21 0.044577 0.114620 0.264957 0.592098 1.255927 2.494469 4.901262
2025-12-28 0.041689 0.111099 0.264455 0.606627 1.316435 2.666206 5.334358
2026-01-04 0.040317 0.110968 0.271183 0.636761 1.410163 2.905929 5.907746
2026-01-11 0.037906 0.107931 0.271117 0.652273 1.475244 3.094945 6.396620
2026-01-18 0.035058 0.103357 0.267014 0.658461 1.521294 3.249677 6.828670
2026-01-25 0.031995 0.097738 0.259796 0.656851 1.550458 3.372491 7.205222
2026-02-01 0.028787 0.091213 0.249627 0.647397 1.561756 3.459851 7.516483
2026-02-08 0.025932 0.085202 0.239983 0.638118 1.572467 3.546297 7.830437